Contents

The Emergency Management System Construction Under the Perspective of Social Goverance

　　and the Strategic Focus of the13th Five Year Plan (Preface)【Tong Xing, Tao Peng】／001

Ⅰ　General Reports

1　Situation Analysis and Prediction of China’s Public Security and Emergency Management

　　【Yang Qing, Liu Xingxing etc.】／001

　　1.Research Background and Significance／002

　　2.The Situation Analysis of Public Safety and Emergency Management Practice in China／005

　　3.The Situation Analysis of Public Safety and Emergency Management Science Research

　　　　Project in China／009

　　4.Analysis on the Situation of Domestic and International Theoretical Research on Public

　　　　Safety and Emergency Management Science Research Project／022

　　5.Development Trend Forecast of Public Safety and Emergency Management in China／026

Abstract:The current pending practical and frontier issue in the emergency management academic and practical field in China is to signify the situation in the public security and emergency management and predict the development rules scientifically. Coordinating investigation with statistical analysis, comprehensive literature, and system integration approaches, the article analyzes the situation in public security and emergency management in China, from the aspects of practice, research projects and theoretical research, and concludes great progress has been made in the theories and practices in the public security and emergency management in China. However, there are still several deficiencies existing, such as lack of top-level design in the public security and emergency management system; the dialectical thinking of transforming crisis into opportunity and crisis transformation management seldom being found; the insufficient research on scientific approaches such as computational experiment. Based on the preceding analysis, such critical issues have been predicted and designed.

Keywords:Public Security;Emergency Management;Top-level Design;Crisis Transformation Management;Computational Experiment

2　Comprehensive Assessment of Emergency Management Capability of Large Cities in China

　　【Li Ke, Tan Zhusen etc】.／035

　　1.Urban Emergency Management Capability Assessment Elements／036

　　2.Urban Emergency Management Capability Index System Design／040

　　3.A Single Dimension Analysis of Emergency Management Capability of Some Large Cities

　　　　in China／060

　　4.Comprehensive Assessment of Emergency Management Capability of Some Large Cities

　　　　in China／100

Abstract:In order to evaluate the emergency management ability of the large cities in China scientifically，the evaluation index system of urban emergency management capability is constructed in this report. According to the theory of emergency management and the relevant provisions of the state to deal with the emergency management，combined with the characteristics of emergency management in large cities in China，first，this paper divide urban emergency management capability based with the classification of disaster types，evaluating the city’s natural disaster emergency management ability, accident disaster emergency management ability, public health event emergency management ability and social security incident emergency management ability apart，secondly. Secondly, classified according to the dimensions of the emergency management process, evaluating the each type of specific events of the emergency response capacity by stages; for each stage of the emergency response capacity, evaluating according to the emergency management elements from the organizational system, operation mechanism, resources protection were evaluation system. Evaluation content only now on different kinds of emergencies emergency management ability, and considering the ability of emergency management in different stages, and covering the various elements of the emergency response, from multi-dimensional emergency management ability of evaluation. This paper assesses the most Chinese cities through this index system, and analyzes the evaluation results.

Keywords:City Emergency Management Ability; Natural Disaster; City Emergency Disaster; Public Health Event; Social Security Event

Ⅱ　Natural Disaster

3　Research On the Emergency Simulation System for Major Floods Based on Big Data

　　【Xu Xukan, Wang Jing】／108

Abstract: In order to improve the ability of handling major floods, research projects based on big data to construct the library flood events, with setting up emergency exercise scene, and eventually forming simulation system framework of emergency drills. By using the emergency simulation technology, and through the observing and evaluating the results of drill to follow the dynamic evolution trend, it is helpful to reduce the losses from major floods.

Keywords:Big Data Environment; Major Floods; Emergency Simulation System

4　Disaster Prevention Team Leadership and Social Mobilization Performance【Sun Zehou】／123

Abstract:In 2014, a large variety of safety accidents and natural disasters occurred frequently, teams of disasters prevention ought to make multifarious social mobilization which could lead a wide range of people to take part in preventing disasters and reducing damages. However, the leadership in these teams and the performance of social mobilization still confront with various challenges. Therefore, for a long period of time in the future, government need to further improve leadership of disaster-preventing teams, establish and strengthen performance assessment mechanism in terms of social mobilization, and efficiently enhance the effects of emergency disposal of disaster prevention.

Keywords:Disaster Prevention; Team Leadership; Social Mobilization

5　Research on Urban Waterlogging Monitoring System【Tang Chengfeng, Chen Bojia】／137

Abstract:With the rapid development of economic and society in China, the scale and rate of urbanization is increasingly accelerating. However,the existing urban infrastructure construction is vulnerable,and the infrastructure can’t meet the demand of humans and ecosystems. The damage of urban waterlogging for many cities over the past few decades have been a critical challenge, and waterlogging phenomenon has seriously affected the further development of Chinese cities. To solve the problem caused by urban floods,engineering measures and the corresponding non-engineering measures are needed. Recently,the State Council issued a “Guiding Opinions on Promoting sponge urban construction” to state the importance of the waterlogging problem. Although, construction measures are effective in the prevention of the impact of urban stormwater, it is difficult to carry out. With the existing technology,building an effective monitoring system for urban waterlogging and alleviating the impact of urban waterlogging, become one of the develop direction of waterlogging prevention. This paper presents some opinions on urban floods mornitoring system, helpful for pre-warning of urban waterlogging prevention.

Keywords:Urban Inland Inundation; Waterlogging Monitoring

6　Reference and Application of Taiwan’s Prevetion and Reduction of Natural Disasters Plan

　　【Du Weian etc.】／146

Abstract:This paper absorbs Taiwan’s formed conception of preventing and reducing disasters and implementation of Deep Cultivation Project, adopts catastrophology, management, economics and other relative theories, combines the characteristics of the mainland and includes all level administrative regions into the system in order to strengthen the network of the national overall prevention and rescue system and program. Meanwhile, the paper aims at establishing and improving the sustainable program of preventing and reducing disasters and providing theoretical reference for post-disaster compensation and catastrophe financing through utilizing catastrophe insurance and asset-securitization.

Keywords:Taiwan; Preventing and Reducing Disasters；Implementation

Ⅲ　Accident Disaster

7　Research on The Mechanism of The Supervision of Road Traffic Safety【Cheng Guoping】／170

Abstract:Based on current situation statistical analysis oftraffic safety in 2014, it summarized the cause and influencing factors of traffic safety issues.Different factors which lead to traffic safety issues were identified and evaluated. Then it established traffic safety warning system and stereoscopic emergency response system.

Keywords:Traffic Safety;Security Early Warning;Stereoscopic Supervision;Emergency Response

8　System Framework and Operation Mechanism of Disaster Prevention and Emergency

　　Response Platform【Wei Yongchang, Liu Dan and Chen Fangyu】／194

Abstract:For enhancing all levels governments’capacity of emergency disposal and ensuring social public security, it is significant to research on the construction and operating mechanism of disaster prevention emergency platform system. This report synthetically uses the methods of literature review and case study to analyze the abroad disaster prevention emergency platform systems and their operating mechanisms. And then, the structure, important parts and operating mechanism of China’s disaster prevention emergency platform system are emphatically introduced. On the basis of the comparison and analysis of domestic and abroad emergency platform systems, the problems and characteristics of China’s emergency platform system are pointed out, and some policy suggestions are put forward on the framework and function improvement, technical standards and data specification, talent team construction, emergency training and drills.

Keywords:Emergency Event; Emergency Platform System; Information Sharing; Operating Mechanism

9　Risk Assessment Methodology of Urban Buried Pipelines Network【Wang Wenhe, Yi Jun etc.】／214

Abstract: With the rapid development of urbanization, a variety of accidents, environmental disasters can happen at any time, in all of them, the greatest threat to the city is the safety and the reliability of the urban lifeline system, and the urban underground pipe network in urban lifeline system is the important part, whose safety affects the normal operation of the city, the safety of people’s lives and property. The research project of the risk assessment method of urban underground pipeline network establishes the urban gas pipeline network risk assessment model and gets the level of risk distribution network matrix, develops the urban gas pipeline network risk analysis and assessment, early warning and management capabilities of city gas pipeline network risk assessment supporting software through the investigation of the present situation of urban underground pipe network and data collection, exploring the failure factors of underground pipelines in the complex urban environment, calculating its weight, selecting the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, and then obtains the reliability and applicability of the model and systems by the practical application of the project. By studying this project, we can build a comprehensive platform of risk assessment and dynamic early warning system, the safe operation and the level of integrity of the city buried gas pipe network has been greatly improved, the security of the city gas pipeline network can be improved effectively, and it has good economic and social benefits.

Keywords: City Gas Pipelines Network；Failure Factors；Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation；Risk Assessment

Ⅳ　Public Health Events

10　Research on Food Safety Incident Response and Comprehensive Management

　　【Gao Weiyi, Guo Xiaoyan】／233

Abstract: In order to know the current situation of food safety incidents’emergency management, this study collects relevant data and information from the perspective of government and the public. It is found that food related laws and regulations are imperfect, the emergency management core body should be established, the government’s Information disclosure is not timely, public food safety risk prevention awareness is not strong and so on. Finally, this study combines the domestic and foreign successful experience in the food safety crisis management and systems with the problem of the investigation, proposed the safeguard measures of the food safety incident emergency response and comprehensive management.

Keywords:Food Safety; Emergency Management; Emergency System

11　The Status quo and Countermeasures of the Safety Supervision of Genetically Modified Food

 　　in China【Su Fang, Wang Zhe and Lu Tingting】／258

Abstract:Since the advent of genetically modified (GM) food, its security is controversial. Due to the lack of reliable GM food safety regulatory system, the public acceptance is difficult to improve. Especially the illegal GM food continually flows into the market cased by economic benefit. This seriously undermined the legitimate rights and interests of consumers. Studying on European Union GM organism safety regulatory system, the paper analyzes the GM food regulatory system, and then puts forward appropriate recommendations, mainly aiming at the laws & regulations, detection, examination & approval system, identification system, information disclosure system of GM foods.

Keywords:Genetically Modified Food; Food Security; Food Regulation

12　Research on the Countermeasures of Urban air Pollution Control in China【Xu Xiaoxiao】／269

Abstract:The development of urbanization breeds a modern civilization and accelerates the economy, culture and technology development，but meanwhile，it induces the deterioration of urban environment arousing the pollution problems，such as air pollution，water pollution，and solid waste pollution. Furthermore, the rapid growth of the population will arouse irreversible influence to the living environment and the future development, thus the prevention and treatment strategies are imperative. According to the analysis of the physical properties, origin, distribution and influence of air pollutants, this report further explores the strategies to control the urban air pollution, and insists that the governments establish corresponding institution, energetically prop up the high-tech environmental protection technologies. The administrative agency should strictly limit heavy pollution projects, and encourage the technology development of clean and renewable energy. Through policy support and market regulation, the economic is developed on the premise of protecting the environment. An emergency system for sudden air pollution should be established. Through fully propaganda, the public realize the importance of air pollution emergency mechanism, and have a sufficient understanding to get active support and cooperation.

Keywords:Urban Air Pollution; Prevent and Treatment; Strategy; Contingency Plan

Ⅴ　Social Security Incident

13　Accident Risk Analysis of Crowded Public Place

　　—Prevention Study on Shanghai Bund Stampede【Tian Wei, Lyu Wei】／290

Abstract:This paper surveyed the people stampede accidents have occurred in the crowded public place all over the world in recent years. Combine with investigating the theory of gathering risk, the psychology of gathering crowd, behavior and movement characteristics, etc, the PMCDT model and crowd stampede risk model were used to study and analyze the serious accident happened at shanghai bund, as a result, the reason of the stampede was obtained and the prevention measures to the risk of crowded public place were presented.

Keywords: Crowded; Stampede; Risk Analysis

14　Research on Evolution and Governance of Social Net Group Conflict in Social Transformation

　　Period【Yang Aijie】／308

Abstract:Because social transition usually makes society conflicts multiple and the development of network technology is rapidly, the net group conflicts come into more frequent time. It is an unavoidable problem to actively avoid and deal with the net group conflicts for social governance. Based on summarizing the causes, characteristics and laws of evolution of net group conflicts in social transition period, this paper proposes the governance principles of net group conflicts during social transformation, including the rule of law, comprehensive, openness and introductory. At the same time, combining with the typical cases in 2014, the paper builds the governance mechanisms and puts forward the path of net group conflicts during social transformation.

Keywords:Social Transformation；Net Group Conflict；Evolution；Governance

15　The Public’s Anti-terrorism Awareness and National Counter-terrorism Model Research

　　In China【Wang Shijie, Ma Jiaming and Zhang Di】／329

Abstract:This article systemizes the violent and terrorist events that happened in recent years in China, and analyzes the situation of violent and terrorist assaults in our country. By establishing a questionnaire of the public’s anti-terrorism awareness of our country, we hope to discover the entire anti-terrorism awareness characteristic of our nation at present, and talk about the factors and their relationships. Based on this, we’ll propose a practicable way to improve the level of public’s anti-terrorism awareness and structure a scientific model of national counter-terrorism.

Keywords:The Public Anti-terrorism Awareness; Counter-terrorism Model

16　Analysis on Group Events from Social Distribution Perspective【Yang Dan, Zhang Huaimin】／363

Abstract:In the process of economic and social transformation, group event is a social phenomenon that cannot be ignored. Group events showed the trend continued to spread with the economic development and deepening of political reform. Therefore, the study of group events are theoretical and practical significance. Firstly, starting from the perspective of social distribution, the paper summarizes the present stage of social distribution. Secondly, the paper analyze group events from three dimensions about resource distribution, opportunity distribution, income distribution. Finally, the paper discusses the path and policy recommendations to solve group events from social distribution perspective.

Keywords: Social Distribution; Group Event; Social Security System

17　Afterword／382