Ⅰ　Main Report

1　Global and China’s Economic Growth in 2010

　　.................................... Ma Yan, Liu Xiahui and Lin Yueqin／001

　　1　China’s Economic Growth Review in 2010 and Outlook in 2011 .......／002

　　2　Global Economic Growth Review in 2010 and Outlook in 2011 .........／019

　　3　BRIC Countries?Economic Growth ....................................／041

　　4　Path Choice of the Mode of Economic Development ...................／050

　　5　China’s Economic Growth in the Future ............................／054

　　　　　　　　Ⅱ　Evaluation of China’s Development Prospects

2　Evaluation of Development Prospects of China’s Provinces　and

　　Autonomous Regions from 1990 to 2009

　　..................... Zhang Ziran, Liu Xiahui, Zhang Ping, Yuan Fuhua,

　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　 Wang Hongmiao and Huang Zhigang／061

　　1　Introduction ......................................................／062

　　2　Index Design and Data .............................................／065

　　3　Development Prospects Evaluation Results ..........................／074

　　4　Development Prospects Categories ..................................／133

　　5　Development Prospects Factor Analysis .............................／149

　　6　Conclusion ........................................................／157

　　　　　　　Ⅲ　Economic Growth towards the Twelfth Five-Year Plan

3　Carbon Footprints of Industrial Growth and Emission Reduction

　　Pressure during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan ................ Yuan Fuhua／162

　　1　Carbon Footprints Measurement Methods in Industrial Growth ........／163

　　2　Carbon Emission in Industrial Growth ..............................／165

　　3　Carbon Output in Industrial Growth ................................／170

　　4　Carbon Emission Factors in Industrial Growth ......................／174

　　5　Carbon Footprints .................................................／178

　　6　The Future ........................................................／179

4　Urbanization and Rebalance between Import and Export ... Chen Changbing／187

　　1　Imbalance between Import and Export ...............................／188

　　2　Trade Balance Factor Theory and Long-term Impact Emprical Study ...／192

　　3　Current Account Factor Theoryand Long-term Impact

　　　　Empirical Study ..................................................／197

　　4　Trade Balance Structural VAR Model ................................／203

　　5　Policy Implication of Rebalance between Import and Export .........／209

5　Industrial Restructuring Towards theTwelfth Five-Year Plan

　　........................................................ Huang Zhigang／212

　　1　Introduction ......................................................／212

　　2　Difficiculty and Highlights in Industrial Restructing .............／213

　　3　Criterion of the Difficiculty and Highlights

　　　　in Industrial Restructing ........................................／217

　　4　Strategy for the Difficiculty and Highlights

　　　　in Industrial Restructing ........................................／224

6　Economic Growth Keeping Steady In Brics Countries .............. Ma Yan／237

　　1　Economic Situation Generally Good for 2010 ........................／237

　　2　Potential Growth Promising for 2011 ...............................／241

　　3　Great Development for Brics Countries .............................／242

　　4　Impact on China’s Economy and Policy Suggestion ..................／243

7　Rethink Economic Growth Policy ............................. Fu Minjie ／244

　　1　Policy Implications of Economic Growth Models Development .........／245

　　2　Economic Growth Facts and Policy History ..........................／248

　　3　Policy Choice of Ecnomic Growth ...................................／252

　　4　Rethink Economic Growth Policy ....................................／257

8　References ............................................................／262

This book involves three parts: firstly, it reviews the global economy and Chinese economy in 2010 and looks forward to the economic growth in 2011 and the “twelfth five-year” period; secondly, it provides a evaluation system on the development prospect of Chinese provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities (an upgraded version of 2010 evaluation system on sustainable development); thirdly, it analyzes several key issues in Chinese economy during the “twelfth five-year” period.