Ⅰ Main Report
1 Global and China’s Economic Growth in 2010
.................................... Ma Yan, Liu Xiahui and Lin Yueqin／001
1 China’s Economic Growth Review in 2010 and Outlook in 2011 .......／002
2 Global Economic Growth Review in 2010 and Outlook in 2011 .........／019
3 BRIC Countries?Economic Growth ....................................／041
4 Path Choice of the Mode of Economic Development ...................／050
5 China’s Economic Growth in the Future ............................／054
Ⅱ Evaluation of China’s Development Prospects
2 Evaluation of Development Prospects of China’s Provinces and
Autonomous Regions from 1990 to 2009
..................... Zhang Ziran, Liu Xiahui, Zhang Ping, Yuan Fuhua,
Wang Hongmiao and Huang Zhigang／061
1 Introduction ......................................................／062
2 Index Design and Data .............................................／065
3 Development Prospects Evaluation Results ..........................／074
4 Development Prospects Categories ..................................／133
5 Development Prospects Factor Analysis .............................／149
6 Conclusion ........................................................／157
Ⅲ Economic Growth towards the Twelfth Five-Year Plan
3 Carbon Footprints of Industrial Growth and Emission Reduction
Pressure during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan ................ Yuan Fuhua／162
1 Carbon Footprints Measurement Methods in Industrial Growth ........／163
2 Carbon Emission in Industrial Growth ..............................／165
3 Carbon Output in Industrial Growth ................................／170
4 Carbon Emission Factors in Industrial Growth ......................／174
5 Carbon Footprints .................................................／178
6 The Future ........................................................／179
4 Urbanization and Rebalance between Import and Export ... Chen Changbing／187
1 Imbalance between Import and Export ...............................／188
2 Trade Balance Factor Theory and Long-term Impact Emprical Study ...／192
3 Current Account Factor Theoryand Long-term Impact
Empirical Study ..................................................／197
4 Trade Balance Structural VAR Model ................................／203
5 Policy Implication of Rebalance between Import and Export .........／209
5 Industrial Restructuring Towards theTwelfth Five-Year Plan
........................................................ Huang Zhigang／212
1 Introduction ......................................................／212
2 Difficiculty and Highlights in Industrial Restructing .............／213
3 Criterion of the Difficiculty and Highlights
in Industrial Restructing ........................................／217
4 Strategy for the Difficiculty and Highlights
in Industrial Restructing ........................................／224
6 Economic Growth Keeping Steady In Brics Countries .............. Ma Yan／237
1 Economic Situation Generally Good for 2010 ........................／237
2 Potential Growth Promising for 2011 ...............................／241
3 Great Development for Brics Countries .............................／242
4 Impact on China’s Economy and Policy Suggestion ..................／243
7 Rethink Economic Growth Policy ............................. Fu Minjie ／244
1 Policy Implications of Economic Growth Models Development .........／245
2 Economic Growth Facts and Policy History ..........................／248
3 Policy Choice of Ecnomic Growth ...................................／252
4 Rethink Economic Growth Policy ....................................／257
8 References ............................................................／262
This book covers three aspects: firstly, it reviews the global and Chinese economy in 2010 and sets forth prospects on the economic growth in 2011 and during the Twelfth-five-year Period; secondly, it advances a development potentiality valuation system for Chinese provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities (as an improvement version of the 2010 Sustainable Development Valuation System) to achieve better assessment of their development; thirdly, it analyzes major problems confronting China during the Twelfth-five-year Period.
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