Steady Economic Growth and Control Inflation Expectations
(Preface) ................................................ Chen Jiagui／001
Analysis and Forecast of China’s Economic Situation
——Report of Fall 2010 ................................ Project Group／001
Overview of “2010 Forum Fall of Analysis and Forecast on the
Economic Situation” ....................................... Peng Zhan／013
General Forecast
The Characteristics of China’s Economic Situation in 2010
and An Analysis of Economic Growth Rate
during the 12th Five-year Plan Period ................... Liu Shucheng／020
Forecast of Economic Situation and Suggests of Political Control
in 2011 ................................................. Fan Jianping／041
Forecast on the National Economic Development in 2010
and Its Prospects for 2011 ............................ Yuan Da et al.／055
Analysis and Outlook 2010-2011 Economy Situation ............. Chang Liqun／060
Analysis and Prediction of Economic Situation in 2010-2011
...................................................... Chen Lei et al.／069
Policies Analysis
China Economy: Back to Steady Growth Path with Adjustment
——2010 Review and 2011 Outlook ...................... Zheng Jingping／089
Analysis and Forecast of China’s Investment Development
in 2010 and 2011 ......................................... Chang Hanya／097
Policies of China’s Economic Development in 2011 ................ Li Boxi／105
China’s Macroeconomic Situation and Policies: 2010-2011 ... Project Group／113
Finance and Banking
Prospective Analysis of China’s Tax Reform
during the 12th Five-year Plan Period .................... Gao Peiyong／125
Analysis of China’s Capital Market Operation in 2010-2011
.................................................. Wang Guogang et al.／141
Monetary and Financial Operation Stepwise Returnto Normal
.................................................. Yan Xiandong et al.／159
Analysis and Forecast of China’s Economic and Taxation Situation
in 2010-2011 ............................................ Chang Peisen／171
The Review and Outlook to the Capital Market
in 2010-2011 ....................................... Yin Kedong et al.／180
Review and Analysis of Shanghai Securities Market in 2010
and Prospects for 2011 ................................ Wu Qian et al.／195
Special Study
Characteristics of China’s Foreign Trade in 2010: Recovered
Growth but Lack of Power ............................... Pei Changhong／208
Emerging Characteristics of China’s Labor Market ............... Cai Fang／217
China’s Employment Situation and Policy Suggestions
in 2010-2011 ...................................... Yang Yiyong et al.／227
Analysis and Outlook of Agricultural Economic Situation ...... Li Guoxiang／238
Situation of Real Estate and Its Reform Suggestions for
the Policy in 2010-2011 ................................ Chou Tianyong／249
Situation of China’s Energy in 2010 and Its Prospects for 2011
............................................................ Huang Tao／260
Analysis of China’s Commodity Market in 2010
and Outlook in 2011 ....................................... Chen Kexin／275
Situation of Shangha’s Economy in 2010 and Its Prospects for 2011
.................................................. Zhu Pingfang et al.／286
Analysis of Chongqing’s Quarterly Economic Operation Based
on the CASS Index ................................ Wang Chongju et al.／298
Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwans Economy
Analysis and Forecast of the Economy of Taiwan Region
................................................. Zhang Guanhua et al.／306
Taiwan Economic Trend ................................. Wang Lirong et al.／316
Recent Situation and Forecast of Hong Kong Economy ......... Chen Li Ailun／328
Analysis and Forecast of Macao Economy ..................... Project Group／341
International Background
Analysis of World Economic Situation in 2010 and
Its Expectation in 2011 ........................... Chang Yuyan et al.／350
Appendix: Statistical Data ...............................................／364
Based on the empirical analysis, the economic trend and the primal problems faced by China in 2010 and in 2011 are analyzed and forecasted. A forecast on the primary indicators for national economy from 2010 to 2011 is issued. An analysis on the macroeconomic situation shows that, after the financial crisis, the domestic demanddriven of growth patterns have strengthened, but there are more evident on the growth characteristics which rely on investment. The target of stabilizing the price by the government should be appropriately improved. The mode of economic development must be transformed and the “dilemma economic operation” questions should be solved.
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