PART ONE
POPULATION CHANGES AND THE
SUSTAINABILITY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Future Population Dividends: New Sources of Economic
Growth .................................................................................... 3
Cai Fang
Population Dividend: Continue or Alter? .................................. 15
Qu Yue, Cai Fang, and Du Yang
Employment Expansion: The Anti-Cycle Strategy with
Chinese Characteristics .......................................................... 29
Cai Fang and Wang Meiyan
PART TWO
EDUCATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFORM
Composition and Development of the Chinese Education
System ..................................................................................... 43
Wang Guangzhou and Niu Jianlin
Educational Resource Integration .............................................. 63
Du Yang
Providing an Education for Left-Behind and Migrant Children ... 75
Gao Wenshu
Reform and Development of Vocational Education ................. 93
Wang Dewen
Direction of Continuing Educational Development in
China ....................................................................................... 117
Zhao Rui and Gao Wenshu
PART THREE
INSTITUTIONAL CONSTRUCTION AND REFORM
Rethinking China’s Pension Reform: Relevance of
International Experiences ....................................................... 139
Cai Fang
Social Security for Migrant Workers: Present
Situation and Direction of Reform ....................................... 153
Wang Dewen
Future Prospects of Household Registration System Reform .... 173
Wang Meiyan and Cai Fang
Retirement System for Migrant Workers: Mode and
Theories .................................................................................. 187
Du Yang and Qu Xiaobo
Index ........................................................................................... 205
CAI Fang, Ph.D. in Economics, Director and Professor at the Institute of Population and Labor Economics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. His research focuses on China’s economic development, agricultural development, labor migration, and demographic economics.
Description:
In this, the second volume in the series, Cai Fang and his colleagues offer policy guidance for an era of less favorable demographic circumstances. These papers consider how the Chinese economy can prosper despite a labor supply that is no longer “infinite,” and they propose ways that China might reap the benefits of a “second demographic dividend.” Unlike the original dividend, which was immanent in the age structure, the second dividend arises from behavioral adjustments to a changing demographic and institutional setting. With increased life expectancy and longer anticipated retirements, people tend to save more for their old age. Such life cycle accumulation can have real effects on labor productivity, but as Wang and Mason (2005) note, “whereas this aging process may bring with it a second demographic dividend, such an event depends heavily on the right institutional environment.” It is this institutional environment that Cai Fang and his colleagues address in these essays.
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