Preface ..................................................................／1
PART Ⅰ HISTORY AND REALITY
Chapter 1 A Historic Review of the Family Plan Policy of China ..........／3
1.The Headstream of China’s Fertility Culture .......................／4
2.The History and Status-quo of Family Plan Policy of China ..........／6
3.The Family Plan Policy for Minorities ..............................／24
Chapter 2 Significance of the Study on the Family Plan Policy of China ..／55
1.A Cost Analysis on Execution of the Family Plan Policy of China ....／55
2.Significance of the Study ..........................................／66
3.Overview ...........................................................／68
PART Ⅱ THEORIES OF POPULATION AND FERTILITY
Chapter 3 The Population Outlook of Ancient China .......................／73
1.Population Outlook of Confucianism .................................／73
2.Population Outlook of Buddhism .....................................／77
3.Population Outlook of Taoism .......................................／80
4.Population Outlook of Islam ........................................／85
Chapter 4 The Population and Fertility Theories of Modern China .........／90
1.Fertility Theory of the Late Qing Dynasty ..........................／90
2.Population Theory of Sun Yat-Sen ...................................／100
3.Population Theory of Mao Zedong ....................................／107
4.The New Population Theory of Ma Yinchu .............................／112
Chapter 5 The Population Theories in the West ...........................／119
1.Population Outlook of Christianity .................................／119
2.Population Theory of Thomas Malthus ................................／125
3.Population Theory of Marxism .......................................／130
4.Transition of Public Fertility Ideas in the West ...................／135
PART Ⅲ A MICRO-ANALYSIS ON FERTILITY
Chapter 6 Data and Descriptive Statistics ...............................／145
1.Investigation and Variables ........................................／145
2.Statistics：Urban and Rural Residents ..............................／148
3.Statistics：College Students .......................................／157
Chapter 7 A Micro-analysis on Fertility Behaviors .......................／171
1.Number of Children .................................................／171
2.Boy Preference .....................................................／181
3.DINK Behavior ......................................................／188
4. Ideas of College Students Regarding Fertility .....................／193
5.Transition of Fertility Behavior with Urbanization .................／202
Chapter 8 Influences of the Family Plan Policy on Fertility Behavior ....／207
1.Impact of Punishment on Overproduction .............................／207
2.Influence of the Family Plan Policy Based on a Comparison
between Han and Islam Peoples ......................................／217
3.Later Childbearing .................................................／221
4.Birth Interval .....................................................／229
5.Public View on the Family Plan Policy ..............................／236
6.An Overall Assesement of Impact of the Family Plan Policy
on the Micro-fertility Behavior ....................................／245
Chapter 9 Public Viewpoints on the Family Plan Policy ...................／247
1.Expert Comments ....................................................／247
2.Remarks on the Internet ............................................／251
3.Notes of Interview .................................................／255
PART Ⅳ A MACRO-ANALYSIS ON FERTILITY AND POLICY ADJUSTMENT
Chapter 10 Macro-behavior of Fertility and Factors of
the Non-family Plan Policy ...................................／263
1.Historical Change in Birth Rate in China and the Analysis ..........／263
2.A Brief Review of the Demographic Transition Theory ................／271
3.Impact of the Non-family Plan Policy Factors
on Decline of the Birth Rate .......................................／273
4.Contribution of the Family Plan Policy Factors vs.the Non-family
Plan Policy Factors to Decline of the Birth Rate ...................／291
Chapter 11 The Population Growth of China and Aging .....................／295
1.A Prediction of Population Growth of China .........................／295
2.Adjustment of the Family Plan Policy and Population Growth .........／305
3.Aging and Retired Population Maintenance ...........................／312
Chapter 12 The Population Policy and the Family Plan Policy of China ....／319
1.A Discussion on Population Policy of China .........................／319
2.Adjustment of the Family Plan Policy ...............................／324
Chapter 13 Summary ......................................................／327
References ...............................................................／336
Epilogue .................................................................／344
Student Authors ..........................................................／348
Remarks of Student Authors ...............................................／349
There are two preconditions when taking about the rationality of China’s One-child policy: China is facing with severe population pressure, and the One-child policy can effectively reduce the population growth. According to the author’s prediction, China’s population will peak at 1.4 billion by 2020. The population pressure in China has not been a task of top priority. On the contrary, China has rapidly entered the aging society and is faced with the burden of old-age. The empirical research shows that the constant decline of China’s birth rate from 1960s is as a result of the rise of per-capita income, the increase of the level of education in size, the process of urbanization and the policy of opening to the outside world, thus the author of the book suggests to adopt a more relaxed family plan policy.
